Polymarket Trader

Trashstar

0x87bab5083ed4497685a98964d135e91026099fd1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $469.75
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $44.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $35.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.25

Over position

Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $9.63

No position

Uruguay vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $2.5

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $22.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.63

Egypt position

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$14.63

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $17.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.75

Norway position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $23.58
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.62

Under position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.2
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.63

No position

Will the Rizzler appear in a Super Bowl LIX Commercial?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.65

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.75

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.5

No position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

Yes position

Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Will 'Emilia Pérez' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.93

No position

Will Jake Paul fight Tommy Fury next?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.87

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

No position

Will Trump make English the national language?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?

Ends Feb 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.3

No position

New Pope before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will DOGE audit the Department of Labor before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Liverpool position

Carabao Cup Semifinal: Tottenham vs. Liverpool (To Advance)

Ends Jan 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

No position

Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.13

Yes position

Trump executive order ending Department of Education in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.39

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.3

Yes position

Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Brutalist"?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?

No 96% 79.48 shares
Will Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?

No 95.9% 67.55 shares
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?

No 95.6% 30 shares
Will Trump say "America Last" in May?

No 96% 100 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

No 72% 50 shares
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)

AFC Bournemouth 99.9% 81.76 shares
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Under 99.9% 5 shares
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)

Chelsea FC 99.9% 19.14 shares
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 0.2% 9.99 shares
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

The Devil Wears Prada 2 31% 4.83 shares
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 92% 49.8 shares