Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $400.07
- Potential payout
- $24.25K
- Potential profit
- $23.85K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$60.67
Polymarket Trader
mattydegen
0x87dd5d99113efbf76a9523b268e11b4543262af7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.25K
- Realized PnL
- $659.29
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $495.15
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$144.84
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$402
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $224.46
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$50.54
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $331.12
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$68.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $133.85
- Potential payout
- $621.12
- Potential profit
- $487.27
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $33.85
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $195.09
- Potential payout
- $516.8
- Potential profit
- $321.71
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.71
- Potential profit
- $309.71
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $98.9
- Potential payout
- $188.38
- Potential profit
- $89.48
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $12.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $402.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$83.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 1,538.46 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 1,694.92 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 2,342.34 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.4% 675.68 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 847.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.5% 6,666.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 565.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 198.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.6% 2,478.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.5% 6,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 18.4% 1,084.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44.1% 453.49 shares