Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $81.07
- Potential payout
- $523.06
- Potential profit
- $441.99
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $7.85
Polymarket Trader
0x87f2...d070
0x87f2215dda2be2d959d2fe6159c21fc2ad92d070
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $408.14
- Realized PnL
- -$242.16
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Current value
- $93.07
- Potential payout
- $231.23
- Potential profit
- $138.16
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $123.93
- Potential payout
- $151.6
- Potential profit
- $27.67
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $73.14
- Potential payout
- $129.47
- Potential profit
- $56.33
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $27.37
- Potential payout
- $28.8
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$10.83
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.55
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$96.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$108.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 14% 523.06 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.3% 676.89 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.9% 676.89 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 69.7% 1,045.83 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 1,045.83 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.1% 564.79 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.8% 937.88 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 55% 56.18 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.1% 271.86 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.4% 949.31 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.5% 580.19 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 11.9% 705.47 shares