No position
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
Ends Aug 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $34.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
Polymarket Trader
0x87F81A302C51A2468Da6eBf379404b70347eb109-1783827412679
0x87f81a302c51a2468da6ebf379404b70347eb109
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.77
- Realized PnL
- -$0.18
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Ends Dec 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $46.7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Aaron Wise finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.53
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.88
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.3
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Y
Yes position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $42B?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.2%
- Current value
- $23.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.93
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Yes position
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.1
No position
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $35.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $14.75
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.58
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.43
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.23
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.83
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.23
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $2.2
N
No position
Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Y
Yes position
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $43B?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Ends Jan 22, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No 92% 49 shares
- Will Aaron Wise finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Aaron Wise finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes 8% 36.2 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 20.1% 50 shares
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 35.72 shares
- Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No 69.4% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?No 8.2% 50 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.2% 50 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?No 80.8% 50 shares