Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $41.58K
- Potential payout
- $226.6K
- Potential profit
- $185.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$71.72K
Polymarket Trader
nelius
0x87ff8c04ddfd0cf51f4270402b87d721a6a57d79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.6K
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $185.02K
- Potential payout
- $226.6K
- Potential profit
- $41.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $71.72K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $905.41
Jirí Procházka position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $801.74
Paulo Costa position
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.06
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Curtis Blaydes position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 100,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 604.03 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 75,200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 75,575.8 shares
- UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Jirí Procházka 90.1% 2,000 shares
- UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Paulo Costa 99.9% 163.17 shares
- UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Paulo Costa 68% 163.16 shares
- UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Paulo Costa 30% 326.33 shares
- UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Curtis Blaydes 45% 492.35 shares
- UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Curtis Blaydes 49% 492.35 shares