Polymarket Trader

GeorgeMatrix

0x88154cc947564d125bcfaf0e21f385d41bb6438d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25K
Realized PnL: $6.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $78.19
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.72K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$630.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.62K
User PnL: -$41.52

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$295.38

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $178.27
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$163.71

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $376.5
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $25.1

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $338.81
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$136.27

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $274.97
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$56.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$448.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$14.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$99.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$101.34

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$105.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $993.75
Potential profit: $993.75
User PnL: -$24.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $911.59
Potential profit: $911.59
User PnL: -$50.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.93
Potential profit: $766.93
User PnL: -$40.74

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679.94
Potential profit: $679.94
User PnL: -$14.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.89
Potential profit: $522.89
User PnL: -$34.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521
Potential profit: $521
User PnL: -$53.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512
Potential profit: $512
User PnL: -$20.48

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$144.8

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.28
Potential profit: $492.28
User PnL: -$38.29

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.58
Potential profit: $341.58
User PnL: -$27.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $395.78

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $392.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $341.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.49

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.24

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.05

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.62

No position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.59

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.92

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 1.3% 314.54 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 13.4% 121.99 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 9% 29 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 8.1% 44 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 51.1% 50 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 76.7% 50 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 77.7% 150 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 59% 0.91 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 19% 54 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 18% 65.1 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 17% 23.99 shares