Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Current value
- $51.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.15
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- -$36.15
Polymarket Trader
darkseraph
0x88177732f372c4bae9e10eafc7caf38cba6b9df1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.85
- Realized PnL
- $938.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.7
Yes position
Will Michigan advance to the Final Four?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.76
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.44
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
No position
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.4
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.3% 29.99 shares
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 18.9% 99.99 shares
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 31.3% 100 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 30.5% 70 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 43% 50 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3.2% 300 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 1.1% 300 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?No 96.9% 147 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 17% 29 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 42% 70 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 41% 100 shares