No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $316.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Polymarket Trader
po2026
0x881ff577743b9f8e411bd88258aa5e6e5b83849a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $843.19
- Realized PnL
- $283.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $89.59
- Potential payout
- $126.18
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $13.59
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $101.85
- Potential payout
- $105.71
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $83.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64.9% 26.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 99.7% 13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 350 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 90% 100 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 93% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 59% 100 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 91% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.6% 657.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 97.7% 13 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.4% 457.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.6% 105.71 shares