Polymarket Trader

defi4real

@zharkov_crypto

0x882e3b3f40a9e6c8b597dffc72d0d87dc95be757

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.15K
Realized PnL: $13.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.4%
Current value: $31.27K
Potential payout: $77.5K
Potential profit: $46.23K
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: -$7.5K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.7%
Current value: $46.23K
Potential payout: $77.5K
Potential profit: $31.27K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $7.48K

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $176
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $139.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $140.75
Potential payout: $149.97
Potential profit: $9.22
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $95.97
Potential profit: $95.69
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$17.83

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $77.69
Potential payout: $80.92
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.52

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $17.69
Potential payout: $68.05
Potential profit: $50.36
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $2.76

No position

StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $57.38
Potential payout: $59.9
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.33
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.65

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.6

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.04

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.62

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $679.6

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.83

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.7

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.99

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.7

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.14

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.64

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.15

Under position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $294.5

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266

No position

Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.13

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.4

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Under 47% 200 shares
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 23% 2.9 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens

Marie Bouzkova 40% 40 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens

Marie Bouzkova 47% 150 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Under 31% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 213.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 136.25 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 15.7% 199.99 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Xtreme Gaming 17% 100.66 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Xtreme Gaming 49.7% 100.66 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 37.6% 150 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Yes 31% 110 shares