Polymarket Trader

Deadnessus

0x8849cdbb6301f0174810d2a0d348e98b896ceb2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.92
Realized PnL: $499.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $160.21
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$6.78

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $268.66
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $274
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $274
Potential profit: $273.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.18

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $41.92

No position

Will there be over 300k jobs added in January 2025?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.54

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $26.4

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.64

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.9%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $22.56

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $22.54

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.2%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $22.36

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $20.55

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $15.55

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.4%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2025 Miami Open?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will France win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $10.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?

Ends Dec 16, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $10.19

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $8.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Yes 9% 25 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Yes 14% 60.95 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Yes 15% 47.8 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Yes 8.4% 293.59 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.8% 30 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.1% 30 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 500 shares
Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 25 shares
Will Czechia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 50 shares
Will Germany win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 30 shares
Will Uruguay win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 50 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 93.84 shares