No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $47.14
- Potential payout
- $881.09
- Potential profit
- $833.95
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Polymarket Trader
0x885360D9DCE844ad4c8E541Bbd23BB34acCB9afE-1772304347517
0x885360d9dce844ad4c8e541bbd23bb34accb9afe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $606.84
- Realized PnL
- $258.88
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $460.49
- Potential profit
- $440.51
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $262.75
- Potential payout
- $392.16
- Potential profit
- $129.41
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $62.75
Yes position
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $255.91
- Potential profit
- $234.41
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $158.36
- Potential payout
- $216.93
- Potential profit
- $58.57
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $16.27
- Potential payout
- $171.24
- Potential profit
- $154.97
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.73
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $80.85
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $29.15
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $17.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.12
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.26
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$13.57
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.86
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$40.63
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$81.4
No position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes 5.4% 460.49 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No 14.6% 171.24 shares
- Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7.8% 255.91 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No 5.7% 881.09 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No 51% 392.16 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 69.1% 216.93 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 57.4% 110 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 5.7% 780.92 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 52.5% 303.63 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes 28% 576.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 29.5% 348.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 43.4% 561.26 shares