Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
BA2027
0x885b7f3e301d3d174a4ee209fce453a777383e82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $542.59
- Realized PnL
- $133.08
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $422.76
- Potential payout
- $4.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$113.99
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $86.82
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$9.77
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $994.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $87
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.4% 500 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 7.5% 1,350 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 8% 807.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 34% 212 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 97.7% 8 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 75% 140 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 30 shares