Polymarket Trader

ivanmi

0x886fb2f1d09fbd5487002e8d077d02f8b0177de4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.87
Realized PnL: $21.75
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.85
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will Álex Remiro be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Gaspi position

Boxing: Perxitaa vs. Gaspi

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Hozumi/Wu position

Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kichenok/Ninomiya vs Hozumi/Wu

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Starmer say "Labour" during resignation?

Yes 80.1% 1.08 shares
Will Starmer say "Labour" during resignation?

Yes 92% 1.09 shares
Will Starmer say "Europe" during resignation?

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during resignation?

Yes 90% 1.11 shares
Will Starmer say "Social Media" during resignation?

Yes 92% 1.09 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5

Over 46% 2.17 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 46% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 69% 1.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 61% 1.64 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 38.46 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 40.1% 2.28 shares