Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $54.69
- Potential payout
- $135.03
- Potential profit
- $80.34
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $6.08
Polymarket Trader
0x8870...fd06
0x88701dd3a03683baedc423bcba438f67f344fd06
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $188.74
- Realized PnL
- $20
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $13.87
- Potential payout
- $89.51
- Potential profit
- $75.64
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $68.51
- Potential payout
- $82.05
- Potential profit
- $13.54
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $74.68
- Potential profit
- $73.9
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $16.22
- Potential payout
- $37.29
- Potential profit
- $21.07
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $24.04
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $24.03
- Potential profit
- $22.84
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.3%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $10.68
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $6.87
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.48
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 85.48 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.1% 42.59 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 54.56 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.8% 50.33 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97.2% 14.65 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.8% 34.39 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 76.7% 5.24 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 76.6% 85.96 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.4% 177.61 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 96.5% 51.89 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.9% 43.95 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 61% 41.58 shares