Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Current value
- $21.03
- Potential payout
- $43.67
- Potential profit
- $22.64
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $11.03
Polymarket Trader
0x887d...bf10
0x887da8952ba8daa8ac49c73c036ce82037d4bf10
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $140.34
- Realized PnL
- $178.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $17.85
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $17.69
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $13.21
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $12.19
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $11.93
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $7.38
- Potential payout
- $9.11
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $2.79
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.83
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 47% 9 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up 34% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 43.67 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No 62% 12.19 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 34% 8.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 3 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 21% 6 shares