Polymarket Trader

BowlOfPunch

0x889e7f0464c72eb8cda1525ebc12b6aaba9d09e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.94M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.82K
Potential profit: $167.82K
User PnL: -$82.45K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.96K
Potential profit: $158.96K
User PnL: -$49.28K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.29K
Potential profit: $123.29K
User PnL: -$12.44K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.46K
Potential profit: $111.46K
User PnL: -$58.47K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.98K
Potential profit: $95.98K
User PnL: -$7.63K

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.49K
Potential profit: $93.49K
User PnL: -$39.47K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90K
Potential profit: $90K
User PnL: -$40.3K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.65K
Potential profit: $83.65K
User PnL: -$11.74K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.48K
Potential profit: $64.48K
User PnL: -$4.51K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.94K
Potential profit: $63.94K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.38K
Potential profit: $63.38K
User PnL: -$9.51K

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Chargers

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.9K
Potential profit: $55.9K
User PnL: -$16.53K

Rams position

49ers vs. Rams

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.5K
Potential profit: $51.5K
User PnL: -$27.3K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$9K

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.94K
Potential profit: $49.94K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.45K
Potential profit: $48.45K
User PnL: -$13.49K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.7K
Potential profit: $47.7K
User PnL: -$4.14K

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.94K
Potential profit: $44.94K
User PnL: -$20.5K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.51K
Potential profit: $39.51K
User PnL: -$9.1K

No position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.86K
Potential profit: $38.86K
User PnL: -$6.22K

No position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.69K
Potential profit: $37.69K
User PnL: -$1.51K

North Carolina position

TCU vs. North Carolina

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$11.82K

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.11K
Potential profit: $25.11K
User PnL: -$3.25K

No position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.27K
Potential profit: $24.27K
User PnL: -$11.89K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ravens position

Bears vs. Ravens

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.52K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.73K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.86K

Auburn position

Michigan State vs. Auburn

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.97K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.93K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.4K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.51K

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.97K

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.14K

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.01K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.24K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57K

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.38K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.82K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.42K

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.78K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.78K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.43K

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.59K

No position

Yoon reinstated as President before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.08K

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39K

No position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

No 96.3% 254 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.9% 10,848 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Yes 51% 1,441 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 99% 2,291 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 96.8% 73 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 90% 2,829 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 97% 447.48 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 48% 5,566 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes 48% 32,670 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 40% 128,088.44 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 91.5% 61,601 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 83% 79,406 shares