Polymarket Trader

pr5

0x889f3205cc6a68f2f3ab6af6f720c0abc73fad42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $797.03
Realized PnL: -$777.98
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $539.64
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $339.65

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $176.94
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $125.23

Yes position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $24.44
Potential payout: $698.35
Potential profit: $673.91
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$75.56

Yes position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $20.06
Potential payout: $163.74
Potential profit: $143.68
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$9.94

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.97
Potential profit: $151.97
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $107.5
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$16.39

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.77
Potential profit: $80.77
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $13.17
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 15 - 21)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.38
Potential profit: $40.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (December 15 - 21)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (December 15 - 21)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Ambassador" this week? (December 15 - 21)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $25.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.64
Potential profit: $16.64
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.86

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

No position

Will JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 15+ times at AmericaFest events on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.48

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.42

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.37K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?

No 21.7% 151.97 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Yes 14.3% 698.35 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 11.1% 824.87 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12.7% 274.95 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12.5% 1,180 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12% 420 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12.5% 40 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 12.5% 260 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 13.3% 400 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 13.6% 200 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 15.7% 400 shares
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Yes 2.1% 460.53 shares