No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $622.42
- Potential payout
- $858.51
- Potential profit
- $236.09
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$86.04
Polymarket Trader
asasabuba
0x88a31b89a645c182d9ef987049ac405e1940e75f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.83K
- Realized PnL
- $339.87
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $763.79
- Potential payout
- $798.95
- Potential profit
- $35.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $445.73
- Potential payout
- $521.32
- Potential profit
- $75.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $45.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.01
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.32
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.69
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 361.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 95% 798.95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 74% 121.62 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 80% 375 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 394.74 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 97.5% 105.1 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 86% 119.04 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 93% 537.63 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 99.4% 991.87 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 96.2% 410.74 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 93.3% 214.39 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 85% 58.82 shares