No position
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.94
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.94
Polymarket Trader
ScarlettGwynne
0x88c02c2fb6249cfbf8687a16772869ebaa4ef2e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.87
- Realized PnL
- $3.89
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.93
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Dominic Solanke be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Trump sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jul 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 14.93 shares
- Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 20.94 shares
- Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No 98.6% 6.09 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 94.9% 5.27 shares
- Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No 99.7% 20.06 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No 99.6% 14.06 shares
- Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No 99.7% 13.04 shares
- Will Dominic Solanke be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No 99.8% 11.02 shares
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of EPL?Yes 98.8% 10.43 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?No 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No 99.1% 10.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No 99.5% 10.05 shares