Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $37.33
- Potential payout
- $98.89
- Potential profit
- $61.56
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
0x88c7...40d3
0x88c7aeb5267c9834dc85b046916b5f6e49d840d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $50.57
- Realized PnL
- $0.16
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.24
- Potential payout
- $13.26
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Solana reach $90 on May 6?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 6?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 5?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 6?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 20.33 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.7% 0.53 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.7% 2.49 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.7% 3.55 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.4% 1.07 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.6% 3.21 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 2.45 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 1.03 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 2.21 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 4.4 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 32.4% 8.92 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 50.25 shares