No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$160
Polymarket Trader
Topme
0x88db7ef8de214ab050f7a58d439979b77e5b4228
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $3.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $134.5
- Potential payout
- $572.35
- Potential profit
- $437.84
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$115.5
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517.24
- Potential profit
- $517.24
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.01
- Potential profit
- $442.01
- User PnL
- -$106
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $357.3
- Potential payout
- $357.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $157.3
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $124.54
- Potential payout
- $319.32
- Potential profit
- $194.79
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$44.6
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $304.47
- Potential payout
- $304.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $104.47
No position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $95.09
- Potential payout
- $267.86
- Potential profit
- $172.77
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$54.91
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $43.08
- Potential payout
- $175.82
- Potential profit
- $132.74
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$56.92
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $28.12
- Potential payout
- $56.81
- Potential profit
- $28.69
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $46.38
- Potential payout
- $49.08
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.72
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.49
No position
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.35
No position
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.2
No position
Israel military action against Yemen before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.54
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $221.35
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.85
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.84
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.29
No position
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.06
No position
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.05
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.23
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.23
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.52
No position
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.91
No position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.64
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.8
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.77
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Yes position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 53% 319.32 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 43.7% 572.35 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No 56% 267.86 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No 56% 357.3 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No 81.5% 49.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No 56.9% 175.82 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 65.7% 304.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No 52.8% 56.81 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes 0.6% 269.23 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 7% 232.52 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 82.1% 243.96 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.2% 350.87 shares