Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.03K
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $30.98K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Polymarket Trader
QMTRADR
0x88e32b106f02fcd7a204e388f830ba290659384e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.83K
- Realized PnL
- $26.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $16K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $671.68
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $735.04
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$184.26
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$177.7
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$440
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $987.82
- Potential profit
- $987.82
- User PnL
- -$108.66
Yes position
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.01
- Potential profit
- $625.01
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $27.76
- Potential payout
- $616.99
- Potential profit
- $589.23
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$59.77
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.87
- Potential profit
- $499.87
- User PnL
- -$59.49
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271
- Potential profit
- $271
- User PnL
- -$71.25
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.97
- Potential profit
- $237.97
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$108
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.33
- Potential profit
- $183.33
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $44.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.41
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.75
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.56
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.77
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.64
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.32
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.62
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.25
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No 45% 100 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 21% 500 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 35% 20.83 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 73% 202.51 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 54% 17.33 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 54% 185.19 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 19% 227.27 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?No 46% 104.16 shares