No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $539.3
- Potential payout
- $605.95
- Potential profit
- $66.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Polymarket Trader
wisestwol
0x88e3476f07ee09a9dbfd5b3980fedd49f118e426
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $833.31
- Realized PnL
- $135.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Ends Sep 23, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $156
- Potential payout
- $186.83
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $27.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $98.05
- Potential profit
- $97.61
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.88
- Potential profit
- $71.88
- User PnL
- -$15.14
Y
Yes position
Will Australia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.53
- Potential profit
- $70.53
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $66.18
- Potential profit
- $65.25
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$35.41
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $40.45
- Potential payout
- $45.19
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $42.35
- Potential profit
- $41.42
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.54
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $27.62
- Potential payout
- $34.1
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $32.92
- Potential profit
- $32.21
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $23.97
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.89
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $12.29
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $10.85
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Ends Sep 23, 2028- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Y
Yes position
Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Over position
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $76.73
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $16.02
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $3.6
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Under position
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Y
Yes position
Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Korea Republic position
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Over position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Côte dIvoire position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 99.9% 7.54 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 53% 7.55 shares
- Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No 59% 8.47 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 38% 23.95 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 1.4% 279.04 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 90% 27.78 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 91% 43.96 shares
- Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 16.2% 12.35 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Yes 93.3% 40 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 0.2% 14.28 shares