Polymarket Trader

c33jay

0x88f397e11dfba51faf461aca814539c3ce7abaa8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $404.06
Realized PnL: $20.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.15
Potential profit: $151.15
User PnL: -$9.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $151.15
Potential payout: $151.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.14
Potential profit: $151.14
User PnL: -$9.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.1
Potential profit: $151.1
User PnL: -$9.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.98
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.64
Potential profit: $27.64
User PnL: -$6.91

No position

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.4
Potential payout: $27.41
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.95
Potential payout: $14.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $12.84
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.09
Potential payout: $12.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $8.99
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $897.89

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $895.4

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.74

No position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $762.36

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $718.19

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $704.49

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $687.22

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.97

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $613.8

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $585.74

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $579.98

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $561.92

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $558.14

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $523.92

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $510.97

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $498.11

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.63

No position

Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $452.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 91% 151.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 93% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 92% 6.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 93% 9.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 93% 61.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Down 93% 9.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Up 93% 48.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 93% 68.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Down 92% 5.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down 92% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Up 92.9% 68.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Down 93% 89.93 shares