Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $128.7
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$60.3
Polymarket Trader
charze
0x88f65cd29a5a9900fa3ed21562bc024ac348dfd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $478.61
- Realized PnL
- -$323.87
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $282.56
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$357.86
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$235.99
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.06
- Potential profit
- $406.06
- User PnL
- -$22.99
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $339.41
- Potential profit
- $328.89
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.67
- Potential profit
- $233.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $26.98
- Potential payout
- $215.82
- Potential profit
- $188.84
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.45
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $152.63
- Potential profit
- $138.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $139.22
- Potential profit
- $132.54
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $133.34
- Potential profit
- $124.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$11.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.03
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.23
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.46
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.74
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$360.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes 7.2% 139.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 384.52 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 0.6% 1,791.2 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 90 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 19% 152.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No 5.3% 1,302 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No 5.2% 1,136.61 shares