Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $202.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.8K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$97.5
Polymarket Trader
darkus
@kyparus
0x88fe0cb92deca0c8460b313ab4aad55f0c02f516
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.23K
- Realized PnL
- $7.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.23K
- Potential profit
- $7.23K
- User PnL
- -$390.36
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- User PnL
- $126.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $485.29
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$14.7
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- $188.28
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $218.57
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $638.57
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $98.57
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $835.3
- Potential profit
- $835.3
- User PnL
- -$690.97
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $145.13
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $604.88
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $85.13
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $641.03
- User PnL
- -$25
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $624.06
- Potential profit
- $624.06
- User PnL
- -$524.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.59
- Potential profit
- $543.59
- User PnL
- -$515
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $479.5
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$44.5
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480.37
- Potential profit
- $480.37
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.75
- Potential profit
- $468.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $195.6
- Potential payout
- $411.78
- Potential profit
- $216.19
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$104.4
No position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.96
- Potential profit
- $410.96
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$104
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $337.99
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.12
- Potential profit
- $354.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.42
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.36
No position
Boxing: Will Dubois win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.67
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.89
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.54
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.73
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.33
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.3
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.61
Yes position
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.69
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.19
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.86
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.23
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.93
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 857.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 17% 2,941.18 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.5% 5,434.35 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes 40.8% 98.13 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 25.8% 783.82 shares
- Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 31.9% 281.8 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 61.6% 68.02 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 235.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 32.8% 304.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 79.8% 250.63 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 500 shares