0x8908a55A7656ba3b22e5C2F7EEf0D6E47d56a6c0-1768133164956

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.68
Potential profit: $65.68
User PnL: -$24.66

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.11
Potential profit: $50.11
User PnL: -$10

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.3
Potential profit: $39.3
User PnL: -$16.77

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.65
Potential profit: $27.65
User PnL: -$15.76

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.62
Potential profit: $19.62
User PnL: -$15.53

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.25
Potential profit: $15.25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $5.45
User PnL: -$3

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $1.09
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET