Polymarket Trader

cetnralcee

0x8909980503bbe26b7d3bdebd59be3034a003652e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.25K
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $195.94
Potential payout: $11.88K
Potential profit: $11.68K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$89.06

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $789.01
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.08K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$527.97

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $148.3
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.72K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$112.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $966.39

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $765
Potential payout: $11.86K
Potential profit: $11.1K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$254.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $11.81K
Potential profit: $7.68K
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.24K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $11.79K
Potential profit: $10.31K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$441.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $720.6
Potential payout: $11.72K
Potential profit: $11K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$228.4

Alliance position

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.33K
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: $3.33K

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $527.7
Potential payout: $561.98
Potential profit: $34.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $27.7

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $145.41
Potential payout: $293.76
Potential profit: $148.35
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$54.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.76

No position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.97

No position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.78

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.54

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.27

No position

Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.67

No position

Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.57

No position

Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.57

Yes position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Yes position

Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)

Alliance 60% 8,333.33 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

No 93% 1,075.27 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 11,863.64 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 11,863.64 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 11,875 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 11,852.94 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 11,818.18 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 11,717.03 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 11,860.47 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 11,861.48 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 11,864.86 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 11,810.71 shares