Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Gray.seal
0x890bbca1f76ccce6ffe938cb0f1ba2b6d949f53d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $87.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 67% 21.69 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 46.1% 21.69 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 41% 23.25 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58% 15.87 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 63% 15.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown 64% 8.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown 61% 8.2 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETDown 7% 28.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 9% 22.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown 19% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 20% 5 shares