Polymarket Trader

babymario141

@trader_mario141

0x890edfc09dd058e91946199b56f607ff6ae58084

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.03K
Realized PnL: $10.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$2.02K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $41.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $188.44
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $28.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$299.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$558.86

No position

Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$252.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$703.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$571.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$395.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$242.99

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $940
Potential profit: $940
User PnL: -$902.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.93
Potential profit: $722.93
User PnL: -$387.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701.82
Potential profit: $701.82
User PnL: -$301.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.98
Potential profit: $699.98
User PnL: -$88.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.38
Potential profit: $643.38
User PnL: -$61.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625.51
Potential profit: $625.51
User PnL: -$206.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$252

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.15
Potential profit: $598.15
User PnL: -$231.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $597.45
Potential profit: $597.45
User PnL: -$466.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.86
Potential profit: $590.86
User PnL: -$328.79

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.03
Potential profit: $553.03
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$400

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$230

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.96
Potential profit: $499.96
User PnL: -$224.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.96

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.65

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 98.6% 3,042.6 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 90.2% 2,216.89 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 79.4% 1,536.55 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 48.1% 4,609.67 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 93.5% 1,069.35 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 98.5% 5,076.88 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 40% 250 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 33% 303.03 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 80% 500 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Yes 67.9% 952.68 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 77.6% 2,986.27 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 3,741.69 shares