Polymarket Trader

helloworld1948

0x890f5843910e232363406c975a951268a66322ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $199.04
Realized PnL: $546.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $327.25
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$40.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $82.61
Potential payout: $252.25
Potential profit: $169.64
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $54.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $40.02
Potential payout: $233.33
Potential profit: $193.32
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $12.02

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.85
Potential profit: $221.85
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $212.12
Potential profit: $182.13
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $23.67
Potential payout: $184.21
Potential profit: $160.54
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.06

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 60% 83.33 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 51% 98.04 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Yes 40% 125 shares
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 339.39 shares
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 238.29 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 149.33 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 18% 350 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 252.25 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 233.33 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 212.12 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 184.21 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 50.5% 221.85 shares