No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.69K
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $714.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $883.18
Polymarket Trader
aliceNBob
0x891672d6fab2ba77c6f215ae092b32c869c5db60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.69K
- Realized PnL
- $2.52K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$40.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.92
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $299.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.81
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.98
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.64
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.5
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.97
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.56
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.34
No position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 570.82 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 6.8% 600 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 81% 9,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 67% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 89% 6,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 85.4% 3,519.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 88.9% 9,263.16 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No 39.4% 1,200.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 36% 1,100 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No 31% 113.03 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 39% 1,100 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No 40% 330.21 shares