No position
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $107
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$21
Polymarket Trader
0x8919787ab5e352fdAB1caEfBDf9745231177d64e-1774101501097
0x8919787ab5e352fdab1caefbdf9745231177d64e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $580.99
- Realized PnL
- $613.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $112.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $87.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $121
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$3
Y
Yes position
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $21.42
- Potential payout
- $158.65
- Potential profit
- $137.23
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$56.32
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $68.88
- Potential payout
- $154.79
- Potential profit
- $85.91
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.06
N
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $93.17
- Potential profit
- $82.46
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.82
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 5% 2.56 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 5% 125.06 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 30% 94.1 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 38% 10.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?No 38% 9.69 shares
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 61% 2.85 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23% 3.2 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.1% 5.11 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 13% 60 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 47% 33.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 7.1% 161.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?No 40% 29.79 shares