No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $5.93
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
vstp
0x8928e652db277db0be278bf11af9c4dd08566ca9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.48
- Realized PnL
- $2.25
- Win rate
- 94.1%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 84.3% 5.93 shares
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No 50% 2 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?No 61% 1.64 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes 87% 2.3 shares
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No 98.8% 2.02 shares
- Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No 71% 1.41 shares
- Epstein client list released in 2025?No 91.8% 2.18 shares