No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498
- Potential profit
- $498
- User PnL
- -$308.76
Polymarket Trader
MustardMurad
@VikashKamb66689
0x892baaaaeab25c2546a013f3adf185e0a122c7a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.83
- Realized PnL
- $3.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.27
- Potential profit
- $182.27
- User PnL
- -$25.46
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $20.26
- Potential payout
- $84.43
- Potential profit
- $64.17
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $64.57
- Potential payout
- $84.4
- Potential profit
- $19.83
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $11.39
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $25.98
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.8
No position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.94
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be greater than $180 on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.53
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.69
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104000 and $106000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.02
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.44
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.33
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.22
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.18
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
No position
Venezuela Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will the fight not be scored by January 31?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 63% 84.4 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 29% 84.43 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 36% 34 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 23.6% 34 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Yes 14% 34 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?Yes 13% 34 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?Yes 11.2% 34 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No 99.5% 5.86 shares
- Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 85% 182.2 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 14% 182.27 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 62% 345 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 62% 153 shares