Polymarket Trader

Ship-Of-Theseus

0x89323a45113f9abdbb2e65c6ea276d736cefeb14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $17.87K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.5K
Potential profit: $61.5K
User PnL: -$81.98

Yes position

Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$219.09

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.02K
Potential profit: $11.02K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$154

Yes position

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $10.34K
User PnL: -$292.69

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.57K
User PnL: -$198

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $4.49K
User PnL: -$797.95

BYU Cougars position

BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$388.49

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $361.15
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$638.36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 48.6%
Current value: $750.77
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $795.62
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $337.77

Yes position

Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$50.67

North Carolina Tar Heels position

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$83.9

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$52

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$29.25

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.43
Potential profit: $727.43
User PnL: -$50

BYU Cougars position

Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.64
Potential profit: $547.64
User PnL: -$312.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538.48
Potential profit: $538.48
User PnL: -$65

Michigan State Spartans position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.01
Potential profit: $499.01
User PnL: -$64.87

South Florida Bulls position

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.96
Potential profit: $497.96
User PnL: -$184.25

Baylor Bears position

Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.62
Potential profit: $495.62
User PnL: -$317.2

Miami position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$44.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289
Potential profit: $289
User PnL: -$18.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.93

TCU Horned Frogs position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $869.75

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $851.11

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.6

DePaul Blue Demons position

DePaul Blue Demons vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.62

TCU Horned Frogs position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.75

Broncos position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 77.3%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $188.49

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.35

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.3

Georgia Bulldogs position

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.4

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.87

Stetson Hatters position

Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $47.04

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 42.4% 464.47 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 21% 967.41 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 17% 648.71 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 21.1% 541 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 24.5% 433.2 shares
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 2,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 51.8% 258.41 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 1,200 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 9,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 36.7% 50.85 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 4.84 shares