No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $333.22
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $973.54
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$142.71
Polymarket Trader
0x8950B5165E86E1fC7Cc890500d0155601DfA3497-1764199871318
0x8950b5165e86e1fc7cc890500d0155601dfa3497
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $458.38
- Realized PnL
- $902.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $95.19
- Potential payout
- $528.85
- Potential profit
- $433.66
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$104.81
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $137.2
- Potential profit
- $124.85
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $17.62
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $77.62
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.98
- Potential profit
- $16.98
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.57
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.69
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $85.88
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.56
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.34
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.29
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 51.3% 282.82 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 37.8% 528.85 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 92% 397.61 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 82% 64.72 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 76% 104.87 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?No 94.1% 12.93 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No 92% 74.07 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes 53% 16.98 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes 86% 11.56 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 4.7% 111.11 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 17% 82.06 shares