Polymarket Trader

turkeysniper

0x895def1b17cbc5b4967179cda41320cc3f7d3778

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $527.16
Realized PnL: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.96K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $48.38
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$70.26

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.2
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$38.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $352.99
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $320.24
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$18.25

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $254.84
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $67.74
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $54.84

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $32.64
Potential payout: $283.84
Potential profit: $251.2
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$30.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $156.75
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $27.7
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $107.43
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $22.7

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $13.18
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $32.27
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $37.47
Potential profit: $35.69
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $23.82
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.11

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.23

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.76

Yes position

Will Michelle Williams win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.05

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.27

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $118.06

Yes position

Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.9

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Editing at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.83

Habs position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

Yes position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.1

Yes position

Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.76

Yes position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.88

Habs position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.68

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.57

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.41

Yes position

Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.83

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting and Ensemble at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.31

Yes position

Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Yes 4.9% 37.47 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Curaçao?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 99.95 shares
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 34.4% 50 shares