Polymarket Trader

ex1tl

0x8965ec05232b750d52790573692c8f4338cd00b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $201.83
Realized PnL: $74.15
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.6K
Potential profit: $12.6K
User PnL: -$207.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$62.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $32.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $567.9
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $24.92
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $305.09
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$6.11

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $32.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $267.45
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.3
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $26.32
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $163.69
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $47.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $102.75
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.75
Potential profit: $104.75
User PnL: -$12.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$2.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 2% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 4% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 18.1% 49.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 17.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 15.2% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.4% 185 shares