Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $463.99
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $695.99
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$135.99
Polymarket Trader
EdgeOfChaos
0x896a3897a964b950462c5e5578fa427dcc3d7b9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.54K
- Realized PnL
- $2.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $847.34
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $52.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $780.76
- Potential payout
- $792.25
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $644.89
- Potential payout
- $725
- Potential profit
- $80.11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $43.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $553.61
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $26.39
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $32.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $543.34
- Potential payout
- $554.71
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $475.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $482.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $342
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $187.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $162.75
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $25.25
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $226.46
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $33.54
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $218.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $227.37
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $96
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $160.4
- Multiplier
- 5.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $196.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $68
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $132
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $12.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $137
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $71.9
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $128.09
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $146.63
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.71
Raiders position
Broncos vs. Raiders
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.69
Stars position
Sharks vs. Stars
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.99
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.73
Sharks position
Golden Knights vs. Sharks
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.16
Sharks position
Lightning vs. Sharks
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.24
Hurricanes position
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.95
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.37
Jets position
Devils vs. Jets
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.06
Kings position
Canucks vs. Kings
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.78
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.94
Boise State position
Boise State vs. Utah State
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.29
Maple Leafs position
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
Bills position
Bills vs. Steelers
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.6
Raptors position
Warriors vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
Lakers position
Mavericks vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.5
Kings position
Kings vs. Lakers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 89.8% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?Yes 73% 200 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No 97.6% 500 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No 88.6% 99.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 76.5% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 76.2% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 90.3% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 90.3% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 89.1% 160 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 89.1% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 89.1% 10 shares