Polymarket Trader

cryptocarol

0x896e47490afc60e6479636e15259f60f845b13f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.65
Realized PnL: $34.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.95
Potential profit: $10.95
User PnL: -$9.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51
Potential profit: $6.51
User PnL: -$5.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.93
Potential profit: $5.93
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $5.55
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $4.68
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.36
Potential profit: $4.36
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $3.42
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $3.3
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?

No 57.1% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?

No 98% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

No 94.3% 4.34 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 86% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?

No 57% 5.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 23?

No 60.7% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 23?

No 65.4% 5.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?

No 51.7% 7 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

No 62.5% 6.75 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

No 80% 6.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 82% 6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 56% 8.77 shares