Polymarket Trader

oreola

0x897a3146a9dadfbec9c339364a9a6bd07994b17e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.07
Realized PnL: $12.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.72K
User PnL: -$750.1

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$44.86

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$760

Yes position

Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$655

Yes position

Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684
Potential profit: $684
User PnL: -$9.82

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$468

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Adam Scott (Severance) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.93
Potential profit: $499.93
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $429.99
User PnL: -$67.31

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$10.75

Yes position

Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $99.07
Potential payout: $241.64
Potential profit: $142.57
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$106.32

Yes position

Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ethereum above $4400 on August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Bitcoin above $110K on August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$44.5

No position

Solana above $200 on August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$34.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 27 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.31

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $766.26

Yes position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.79

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.16

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.21

Yes position

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.24

No position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.6

No position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.57

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.35

Yes position

Will Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.24

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.2

No position

Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.15

Wicked position

Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.7

No position

Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.2

Yes position

Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.26

Yes position

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.35

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $295.06

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.4

Yes position

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.99

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 12.2% 670 shares
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?

Yes 97.5% 1,177 shares
Will Sonny Green win Britain's Got Talent?

No 62% 7 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.9% 221 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.8% 169 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98% 50 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.7% 202 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.7% 202 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.7% 202 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.7% 232 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 98.5% 202 shares
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?

Yes 66% 228 shares