Polymarket Trader

Guanaco94

0x89a74d28ee67554f5456e36f71061063e4cabb87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.02
Realized PnL: -$10.36
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114K
Potential profit: $114K
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114K
Potential profit: $114K
User PnL: -$114

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.13K
Potential profit: $11.13K
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.37
Potential profit: $76.37
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $39.65
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 11% 136.36 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 0.1% 11,000 shares