Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $90
Polymarket Trader
bill158
0x89d1c65e8554a1fb0598bc347ac9b7dc9acecf60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- -$38.43
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $380
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$729.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$322.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $756
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $252
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$38.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 43% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63% 726.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 34% 203.35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 36% 239.19 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 56.7% 135.55 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37.8% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 36.9% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 35% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 500 shares