Polymarket Trader

0x89d267AA74C5Ad61fd11106BE08E7fcE3b63049D-1723179466310

0x89d267aa74c5ad61fd11106be08e7fce3b63049d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.88
Realized PnL: $2.33K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.8K
User PnL: -$6.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.96
Potential profit: $505.96
User PnL: -$252.98

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.2
Potential profit: $273.2
User PnL: -$136.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.22
Potential profit: $238.22
User PnL: -$119.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.67
Potential profit: $181.67
User PnL: -$92.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.2
Potential profit: $139.2
User PnL: -$70.69

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $44.88
Potential payout: $119.69
Potential profit: $74.8
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$31.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 17, 8AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.16

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.57

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.42

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.07

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.32

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.35

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Trump lead by 1.5 or more points on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Down 50% 284.14 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 273.2 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 252.5 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

No 92% 96.88 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Yes 8.9% 828.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET

Up 50% 238.22 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET

Down 50.7% 229.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Up 51% 218.02 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12PM ET

Up 51% 405.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7AM ET

Down 50.8% 139.2 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Down 51% 402.9 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Yes 0.7% 1,099.73 shares