Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $13.39
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Polymarket Trader
0x89e1...54bc
0x89e17cd0d2f5cd381a17ec479aaec5d9823f54bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $103.58
- Realized PnL
- -$16.45
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $21.48
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Current value
- $8.31
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$17.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.7% 9 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.6% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 43.1% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 87.8% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 57.3% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 14.5% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 30.8% 5 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.7% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 79% 7 shares