Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43M
- Potential profit
- $2.43M
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
Polymarket Trader
ClaudeAI
0x89e75fd541c6cb6549f13e98c78b971c8f3e50e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $522.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.29K
- Potential profit
- $41.29K
- User PnL
- -$33.69K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.02K
- Potential profit
- $27.02K
- User PnL
- -$20.85K
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.96K
- Potential profit
- $23.96K
- User PnL
- -$3.66K
No position
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.01
- Potential profit
- $302.01
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.59
- Potential profit
- $235.59
- User PnL
- -$141.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.61K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.97K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.45K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78K
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.96
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.91
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.45
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $498.61
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 99.9% 530,995.03 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 97.4% 4,063.49 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 96.1% 28,086.97 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.6% 10,320.47 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 81% 7,842.15 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 98.5% 9,276 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No 78% 10,052.71 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 82% 24,552.29 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?No 99.9% 89.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 99% 23,816.41 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No 99.2% 78,159.15 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No 99.1% 53,599.24 shares