JustLuck-believeinmeineverlied

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $4.62
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $4.4
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $1.58
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $1.53
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 30?