bobrenokli

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.51
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Rodina win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $18.82
Potential payout: $588.21
Potential profit: $569.39
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $551.62
Potential profit: $545
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $84.8
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $445.2
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $486.35
Potential profit: $475.16
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $22.04
Potential payout: $440.88
Potential profit: $418.83
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $70.66
Potential payout: $381.97
Potential profit: $311.31
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $325.95
Potential profit: $323.51
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $292.21
Potential profit: $286.51
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $15.15
Potential payout: $275.52
Potential profit: $260.37
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $50.31
Potential payout: $214.1
Potential profit: $163.79
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $175.98
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $32.39
Potential payout: $185.06
Potential profit: $152.67
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $23.02
Potential payout: $164.41
Potential profit: $141.39
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$46

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $21.45
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $108.53
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by September 30?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $108.58
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $105.47
Potential profit: $80.69
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $117.56

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $26.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $22.99

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $22.83

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $20.04

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $15.89

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $15.78

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $15.37

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $14.76

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $14.02

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $11.17

Yes position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $10.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?