Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $123.33
- Potential payout
- $9.14K
- Potential profit
- $9.01K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $43.33
Polymarket Trader
galdrothx1
0x8a17fe2942f4bc45269961228fc65535ce1e2560
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.25K
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $194.91
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $349.24
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $470.52
- Potential payout
- $818.29
- Potential profit
- $347.77
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $13.19
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $666.68
- Potential payout
- $736.67
- Potential profit
- $69.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $66.68
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $589.88
- Potential profit
- $588.7
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$98.82
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $492.19
- Potential profit
- $489.48
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$27.29
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $237.62
- Potential payout
- $461.4
- Potential profit
- $223.78
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $37.62
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $310.32
- Potential payout
- $414.04
- Potential profit
- $103.72
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $402.23
- Potential profit
- $389.96
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$187.73
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $225.25
- Potential payout
- $288.78
- Potential profit
- $63.53
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Yes position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $175.21
- Potential payout
- $255.78
- Potential profit
- $80.57
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$24.79
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $207.22
- Potential payout
- $241.24
- Potential profit
- $34.01
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $166.17
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.63
- Potential profit
- $185.63
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $142.54
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $42.54
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $107.71
- Potential profit
- $102.05
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$44.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.6
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.35
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.58
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- $237.21
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.15
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $138.63
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.27
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.83
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $41.59
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.72
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $21.01
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 58.7% 85.24 shares
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 57.5% 173.9 shares
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 56% 178.57 shares
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 55% 13.33 shares
- No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 89% 112.36 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 87.9% 113.75 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 78.2% 63.92 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 90% 111.11 shares